OrbitPrediction
How do scientists calculate the probability that an asteroid could hit Earth?
How do scientists calculate the probability that an asteroid could hit Earth? Asteroid 2024 YR4 was initially reported to have an unusually high probability of hitting Earth (1%) in January 2025, but further observations revealed a near-zero chance of collision. The asteroid’s impact probability continuously increased up to 3.1% on February 18, but dropped to […]
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