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Before Venezuela’s oil, there were Guatemala’s bananas

Before Venezuela’s oil, there were Guatemala’s bananas The Trump administration’s desire for unfettered access to Venezuela’s oil has overshadowed conventional foreign policy objectives, such as combating drug trafficking or bolstering democracy and regional stability. The US military strike that seized Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, is reminiscent of the CIA-backed coup in […]

🏛️ Politics

Today Venezuela, tomorrow Iran: can the Islamic Republic survive a second Trump presidency?

Today Venezuela, tomorrow Iran: can the Islamic Republic survive a second Trump presidency? Venezuela’s President Nicolas Maduro’s fate demonstrates that the Trump administration is willing to use military force for regime change, and Iran’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei faces a similar threat. Khamenei’s regime is in trouble due to lack of state allies, a crumbling […]

🏛️ Politics

I wrote a book on the politics of war powers, and Trump’s attack on Venezuela reflects Congress surrendering its decision-making powers

I wrote a book on the politics of war powers, and Trump’s attack on Venezuela reflects Congress surrendering its decision-making powers Trump’s attack on Venezuela reflects Congress’ surrendering its decision-making powers, as the US launched large-scale attacks without explicit authorization from lawmakers. The US military raid in Venezuela raises questions about procedure and legality, with […]

🏛️ Politics

Cuba’s leaders just lost an ally in Maduro − if starved of Venezuelan oil, they may also lose what remains of their public support

Cuba’s leaders just lost an ally in Maduro − if starved of Venezuelan oil, they may also lose what remains of their public support Cuba’s leaders are facing a significant loss of support after Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro was captured by US forces, potentially weakening their grip on power. The Trump administration has adopted a […]

🏛️ Politics

5 scenarios for a post-Maduro Venezuela — and what they could signal to the wider region

5 scenarios for a post-Maduro Venezuela — and what they could signal to the wider region The US military operation that removed President Nicolás Maduro from power marks a significant shift in hemispheric politics, signaling that the US is prepared to act unilaterally and forcefully to achieve its goals. There are five possible scenarios for […]

🏛️ Politics

Deception and lies from the White House to justify a war in Venezuela? We’ve seen this movie before in run-ups to wars in Vietnam and Iraq

Deception and lies from the White House to justify a war in Venezuela? We’ve seen this movie before in run-ups to wars in Vietnam and Iraq President Donald Trump’s administration has presented the US military operations against Venezuela as a war against drug trafficking and terrorism, despite lacking credible evidence to support these claims. The […]

🏛️ Politics

Ceasefires like the one between Iran and Israel often fail – but an agreement with specific conditions is more likely to hold

Ceasefires like the one between Iran and Israel often fail – but an agreement with specific conditions is more likely to hold Despite President Trump’s announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, both countries launched airstrikes against each other within hours, raising concerns that the deal may not hold. Ceasefire deals often fail due […]

🏛️ Politics