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Warfare

The commitment trap: How Israel, Iran and the US risk becoming prisoners to policies

The commitment trap: How Israel, Iran and the US risk becoming prisoners to policies The “commitment trap” refers to a situation where states and governments feel compelled to continue with a promised course of action, even if it’s not in their best interest. The concept applies to various situations, including unilateral acts of aggression, preemptive […]

🏛️ Politics

A militarily degraded Iran may turn to asymmetrical warfare – raising risk of proxy and cyber attacks

A militarily degraded Iran may turn to asymmetrical warfare – raising risk of proxy and cyber attacks A militarily degraded Iran may turn to asymmetrical warfare, including proxy and cyber attacks, as Israel’s air assault on Iran has compromised its conventional military capabilities. Iran’s “forward deterrence” doctrine, which aims to target adversaries before they reach […]

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Ukraine’s Operation Spider Web destroyed more than aircraft – it tore apart the old idea that bases far behind the front lines are safe

Ukraine’s Operation Spider Web destroyed more than aircraft – it tore apart the old idea that bases far behind the front lines are safe Ukraine’s Operation Spider Web successfully destroyed or degraded over 40 strategic bombers, including Tu-95, Tu-160, and Tu-22 M3 aircraft, as well as an A-50 airborne-early-warning jet, in a series of blasts […]

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France accuses Russia of a decade’s worth of high-profile cyberattacks

France accuses Russia of a decade’s worth of high-profile cyberattacks France has publicly accused Russia of sponsoring high-profile cyberattacks on French entities for over a decade, including a faked Islamic State takeover and the leak of President Emmanuel Macron’s emails in 2017. The attacks are attributed to APT28, a Russian military intelligence hacking unit also […]

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How the small autonomous region of Puntland found success in battling Islamic State in Somalia

How the small autonomous region of Puntland found success in battling Islamic State in Somalia Puntland, a small autonomous region in Somalia, has successfully battled Islamic State (IS) in Somalia, taking back several areas from the group’s control as part of Operation Hilaac. The Puntland Defense Forces, supported by international partners including the US and […]

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Sudan’s civil war: What military advances mean, and where the country could be heading next

Sudan’s civil war: What military advances mean, and where the country could be heading next A Sudanese man celebrates as the military enters the central city of Wad Madani, pushing out the Rapid Support Forces in January 2025. AP Photo/Marwan Ali A series of advances by the Sudanese military has led some observers to posit […]

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Myanmar’s civil war: How shifting US-Russia ties could tip balance and hand China a greater role

Myanmar’s civil war: How shifting US-Russia ties could tip balance and hand China a greater role Myanmar's civil war involves a range of different ethnic groups fighting the military. Thierry Falise/LightRocket via Getty Images While the United States talked military assistance and minerals with Ukraine, Russia did the same with one of its few remaining […]

🏛️ Politics

How power imbalance, misread signs and strategic blunders clouded Hamas’ judgment over Gaza ceasefire

How power imbalance, misread signs and strategic blunders clouded Hamas’ judgment over Gaza ceasefire In late February 2025, senior Hamas leader and ex-chairman of its politburo, Mousa Abu Marzouk, said he would not have supported Hamas’ Oct. 7, 2023, attack on Israel had he known how destructive Israel’s response would have been. That remarkably frank […]

🏛️ Politics